http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/weak_and_contained_islamic_state_advances/

Barack Obama last month, on the morning of the Paris attacks by the Islamic State:

I don’t think they’re gaining strength… What is true, from the start our goal has been first to contain [the Islamic State] and we have contained them.

Malcolm Turnbull on the Islamic State two weeks ago:

By most measures, however, ISIL is in a fundamentally weak position.

We must not be fooled by its hype. Its ideology is archaic, but its use of the Internet is very modern. ISIL has many more smartphones than guns, more twitter accounts than fighters. It does not command broad-based legitimacy even in those areas under its direct control.

Today:

Islamic State fighters have captured swathes of eastern Afghanistan in a drive to establish a new province of the group’s self-styled caliphate on territory straddling the border with Pakistan.

Up to 1600 fighters pledging allegiance to Isis are ruling much of four districts south of Jalalabad with the same ruthlessness that characterises the group’s regime in Syria and Iraq: public beheadings, strict adherence to Koranic teachings foreign to Afghanistan, and extortion. Some of the worst atrocities have been filmed and posted online.