The Conservatives are committed to a referendum in 2017. What with the migrant crisis in Europe, a burning camp at Calais and terrorists in Paris, right on our doorstep, who would doubt that the referendum answer will be to LEAVE THE EU. David Cameron will not be able to extract the changes to the EU he wants; there are too many other parties and too little time. What is in it for the rest of the EU to try and keep the UK when the outcome of the referendum is so clear. This will not be an economic argument but one solely based on Islamic/migrant issues.

So we will leave and draw up the drawbridge. Meanwhile it is likely the SNP will be pro-Europe and hope to secure a majority vote to stay within Scotland. When they have secured their position, they will argue that the rest of the UK (England) is forcing the Scottish people out of the EU against their will. This will be grounds for a second referendum on Independence, one which they will plan to win at any cost.

What began in Panama over 300 years ago, ended in Paris 13/11/2015.